The confidence we experience as we make a judgment is not a reasoned evaluation of the probability that it is right. Confidence is a feeling, one determined mostly by the coherence of the story and by the ease with which it comes to mind, even when the evidence for the story is sparse and unreliable. The bias toward coherence favors overconfidence. An individual who expresses high confidence probably has a good story, which may or may not be true.
(via femmebot)
trampoline3f reblogged this from femmebot
xn----ylbaboebotbdcs8cycfbfdiq reblogged this from femmebot
itisdustin liked this
drewshah reblogged this from journo-geekery
ampersandean liked this
journo-geekery reblogged this from msg
eveningtales liked this
ronenreblogs reblogged this from msg
jdg liked this
makenewwords liked this
ayaros liked this
steeped liked this
clarajudgypants liked this
enten-ellerrr liked this
urbanloft liked this
xoplusm liked this
texturism reblogged this from msg and added:
the confidence we experience as we make a judgment is not a reasoned evaluation
texturism liked this
msg reblogged this from femmebot
femmebot posted this
